You can refresh yourself on reading moneyline bets in our how to read odds section above, but here’s a breakdown of using implied probability with moneyline bets. The handicap we’re referring to is called a point spread, which will be in favor of the underdog, but you can bet against the favorite also. When reading a point spread for any football game, you’ll see the team’s name followed by the spread; this isn’t linked to your wager calculation. Instead, this is the point difference that will decide the outcome of your bet.
Let’s take an early look at three spread bets plus a moneyline pick for Week 3 of the preseason. Green Bay has performed well at Lambeau Field this season, going 5-1 SU and 4-2 ATS at home leading into Week 15. Carolina has been even better against the number as a road team in 2020, posting a 5-1 ATS record that trails only the New York Giants for best visiting cover percentage in the league. The Panthers have not had nearly as much straight-up success on the road, however, mustering just two wins in six trips.
The New Orleans Saints lost to the Baltimore Ravens on August 14 by a final score of 17-14, but rebounded for a win against the Jacksonville Jaguars this past Monday. The starting quarterback job seems to have been won by Jameis Winston, even if the Saints are reluctant to officially announce that fact at this point. The final contest of their exhibition slate means nothing to a team that is a perennial contender to go deep into the playoffs. Unfortunately most Cardinals fans will have to wait a couple more weeks before they can place sports bets in Arizona, but they can get some skin in the game by playing NFL DFS at DraftKings this Saturday.
The total for the New Orleans Saints-Seattle Seahawks game is set at 42.5 points. That one is pitting rookie QBs Mac Jones and see this website Zach Wilson against each other. The Rams are 16.5-point favorites over the Lions, the NFL’s lone remaining winless. This game opened at Rams -14.5 and is displaying the biggest spread movement of any NFL line this week. A GREEN circle means that there are higher bet limits on the betting line and there are no betting restrictions.
For example the Favorite in this game is the Detroit Lions as they have a point spread of -3(-110). For you to win your wager, the Detroit Lions would have a final score beating the New York Giants by 4 or more points. If there is not a -110 beside the point spread it is usually assumed 10% juice. The Underdog in the point spread is the New York Giants +3(-110). For you to win your wager the NY Giants could lose the game by 2 points or less. If the final is score is a margin of 3 points then the wager would be graded a PUSH and the wager amount would be returned to you.
The favorite is usually the perceived better team in the game, as backing them means giving up several points. The betting favorite is displayed with a minus sign (-) followed by a number. That number represents the amount of money that has to be bet in order to win $100. The underdog, however, is listed with a plus sign (+) in front of a number. Like the old cliché goes, timing is everything, and that applies to successful futures bets as well. The sooner you tackle the action, the greater the payout will be if you win the bet.
And these odds remain up through offseason, preseason, and the regular season up until the Super Bowl matchup is known. Betting on the point spread for an NFL game might be the most common wager one thinks of when betting on the NFL. The point spread is a bet made on a specific matchup, as a favorite (-) and an underdog (+) are determined. With a specific number of points set on the line., the team in the role of the favorite must win by the number of points they are associated with. NFL live betting options typically come in the form of moneyline, spread, or totals, but you can also find some prop options as well.
The Saints definitely aren’t the juggernaut that they were when Drew Brees was still playing a few years ago. They do have a competent team, though, and they’re a strong, well-rounded squad that features a strong offensive line and Alvin Kamara on offense. And defensively, they have a great defensive line and one of the best cornerbacks in the game in Marshon Lattimore. Between Vea’s absence and the Giants’ receivers getting healthier off a bye and going up against a weak secondary, this seems like a nice opportunity for the Giants to cover. They won’t win outright, but don’t be surprised if this is a three- or four-point game as it so often has been under Brady’s watch. After all, Brady’s track record versus the Giants isn’t nearly as bad as most assume it is.
When it comes to NFL betting odds like totals and point spreads, you will have to assess how many points a team might get in a game, or both teams collectively. We rank each of our best bets on a scale of 1 to 5 Stars, with 5 Stars being the most profitable bets each week. Our computer model is able to identify trends and player statistics to see who is performing up to par, and who is slumping. We use real time data and analysis to predict each score, so picking the spread has never been easier. Our best bet model even uses real time NFL spreads to create our star ratings, so if the line moves drastically one way our best bet will update as well.